ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCEBASED DEEP LEARNING MODEL OPTIMIZING FINANCIAL PREDICTIONS EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE FROM TOP SIX MARKETS

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gmsr.2025(X-I).06      10.31703/gmsr.2025(X-I).06      Published : Mar 2025
Authored by : Rabia Akram

06 Pages : 62-83

http://dx.doi.org/10.31703/gmsr.2025(X-I).06      10.31703/gmsr.2025(X-I).06      Published : Mar 2025

Artificial Intelligence-based Deep Learning Model Optimizing Financial Predictions: Empirical Evidence from Top six Markets

    Navigating the complexities of the foreign exchange market remains a significant challenge for investors and risk managers worldwide. This study addresses this challenge by developing a Deep Learning-based Multilayer Perceptron (DL MLP) model to classify daily multi-currency exchange rate returns (USD, EUR, GBP, CHF, JPY, CNY) from 2010 to 2024. The framework categorizes market movements into three distinct states: appreciation (good returns), depreciation (bad returns), and stability (no returns), transforming these categorical outcomes into a numerical format suitable for neural network processing via one-hot encoding. Powered by a backpropagation algorithm, the model demonstrates exceptional predictive capability, achieving a 91% classification accuracy and near-perfect AUC ROC scores, thereby identifying optimal safe-haven currencies with high reliability. The empirical findings offer a powerful data-driven tool for forex investors seeking to refine their strategic asset allocation and for global risk managers aiming to enhance their hedging strategies against currency volatility.

    Multicurrency Exchange Rate Returns, Deep Learning, Optimal Prediction Performance
    (1) Rabia Akram
    College of Management, Shenzhen University, Guangdong, 518060, PR China.
PDF

Cite this article

    APA : Akram, R. (2025). Artificial Intelligence-based Deep Learning Model Optimizing Financial Predictions: Empirical Evidence from Top six Markets. Global Management Sciences Review, X(I), 62-83. https://doi.org/10.31703/gmsr.2025(X-I).06
    CHICAGO : Akram, Rabia. 2025. "Artificial Intelligence-based Deep Learning Model Optimizing Financial Predictions: Empirical Evidence from Top six Markets." Global Management Sciences Review, X (I): 62-83 doi: 10.31703/gmsr.2025(X-I).06
    HARVARD : AKRAM, R. 2025. Artificial Intelligence-based Deep Learning Model Optimizing Financial Predictions: Empirical Evidence from Top six Markets. Global Management Sciences Review, X, 62-83.
    MHRA : Akram, Rabia. 2025. "Artificial Intelligence-based Deep Learning Model Optimizing Financial Predictions: Empirical Evidence from Top six Markets." Global Management Sciences Review, X: 62-83
    MLA : Akram, Rabia. "Artificial Intelligence-based Deep Learning Model Optimizing Financial Predictions: Empirical Evidence from Top six Markets." Global Management Sciences Review, X.I (2025): 62-83 Print.
    OXFORD : Akram, Rabia (2025), "Artificial Intelligence-based Deep Learning Model Optimizing Financial Predictions: Empirical Evidence from Top six Markets", Global Management Sciences Review, X (I), 62-83
    TURABIAN : Akram, Rabia. "Artificial Intelligence-based Deep Learning Model Optimizing Financial Predictions: Empirical Evidence from Top six Markets." Global Management Sciences Review X, no. I (2025): 62-83. https://doi.org/10.31703/gmsr.2025(X-I).06